Probabilities, Propensities and conditionals: implications for logic and empirical science

Project Summary

This project is hosted by: Institute of Philosophy

Research interests:
Neuroscience, Philosophy
Africa, Africa, Asia, Asia, Europe, Europe, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Project period:
01-Oct-2013 - 01-Oct-2015
Project summary:

The study is for a complex and interlocking set of topics in the philosophy of science, logic, and the foundations of probability and statistics, and of quantum mechanics. The focus of the project is on important and unexplored connections between objective probability, physical propensities, and the logic of conditional statements. The main expected outcome is an improved understanding of the nature of probability and its role in the empirical sciences, particularly in relation to quantum physics. The topics are of great current interest and relevance across a number of disciplines, including philosophy of science, logic, probability and statistics, and the foundations of quantum physics. There are further potential applications to computer science, statistical methodology, scientific modelling, and causal inference.

The project is very carefully structured in a number of work packages with a number of specific objectives and  deliverables for each:

i) propensities and dispositions,
ii) the logic of conditionals, iii) conditional probability and the probability of conditionals, iv) propensities and conditionals,
v) alternative calculi of probability, vi) applications to foundations of quantum mechanics, vii) further applications, and viii)
historical developments.

Management Details

Lead researcher & project contact:

Name Position Institute Organisation Contact
Professor Mauricio Suarez Research Associate Institute of Philosophy London School of Economics



Name Position Institute Organisation Contact
Professor Dorothy Edgington Waynflete Professor of Metaphysical Philosophy Institue of Philosophy Magdalen College, University of Oxford
Professor Barry Smith Director of the Institute of Philosophy Institue of Philosophy University of London



Funder Grant type Award
European Research Counsil - REA FP7-PEOPLE-2012-IEF £256,541.14